NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75a88adc1f3957108df435702b3920acc5d901fcdba3bf7c6c53cdd07356f192
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,125,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,125,510 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Blues | 40c | 259,069$103,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,919.3 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blues | 41c | 143,336$58,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,127.67 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Blues | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000.02 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 60c | 99,470$59,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,681.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Ducks | 60c | 82,500$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,500 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Ducks | 0c | 59,118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 60c | 58,169$34,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,988.04 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Blues | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Ducks | 60c | 37,350$22,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,410 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 59c | 29,670$17,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,505.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Ducks | 60c | 25,046$15,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,025.93 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Ducks | 0c | 23,132$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 61c | 22,261$13,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,517.65 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Ducks | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ducks | 60c | 17,570$10,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,542 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Ducks | 59c | 16,700$9,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 16,508$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Ducks | 61c | 16,394$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Ducks | 0c | 15,099$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Blues | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.94 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ducks | 61c | 12,334$7,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.93 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Ducks | 59c | 12,333$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.14 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ducks | 59c | 11,437$6,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,747.83 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ducks | 60c | 10,090$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.9 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 60c | 9,766$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.63 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ducks | 60c | 8,762$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 61c | 8,704$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.12 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ducks | 59c | 7,922$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.86 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blues | 54c | 7,879$4,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Ducks | 60c | 7,470$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 13c | 6,918$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blues | 64c | 6,549$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.78 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ducks | 61c | 6,450$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.5 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Blues | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Ducks | 59c | 5,340$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.51 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 40c | 5,150$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.14 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed Ducks | 59c | 5,127$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blues | 40c | 5,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.78 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Blues | 40c | 5,001$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.75 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Blues | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 62c | 4,743$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.53 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Blues | 41c | 4,284$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.54 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Ducks | 47c | 3,819$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.59 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Ducks | 60c | 3,815$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.78 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks | 60c | 3,777$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.17 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 60c | 3,508$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Ducks | 60c | 3,450$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 60c | 3,417$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.89 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Ducks | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Blues | 40c | 3,255$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.76 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Ducks | 60c | 3,250$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Ducks | 62c | 3,204$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 45c | 3,036$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Ducks | 7c | 3,002$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues | 40c | 3,000$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.96 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Ducks | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Ducks | 60c | 2,807$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Ducks | 60c | 2,754$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Ducks | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.01 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 59c | 2,482$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Ducks | 61c | 2,364$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 4c | 1,965$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Ducks | 36c | 1,806$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.55 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 39c | 1,745$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.19 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Ducks | 60c | 1,632$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Ducks | 60c | 1,546$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,509$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.02 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Ducks | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.01 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Blues | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Ducks | 61c | 1,474$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.57 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Blues | 49c | 1,434$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.82 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 39c | 1,332$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.29 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…8dc6backed Ducks | 60c | 1,280$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Ducks | 61c | 1,229$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Ducks | 60c | 1,188$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Ducks | 59c | 1,179$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.36 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Blues | 40c | 1,170$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…fb8dbacked Blues | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 59c | 1,008$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Ducks | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Ducks | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.97 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Ducks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Blues | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Ducks | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Blues | 64c | 919.97$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blues | 43c | 904.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.27 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 59c | 890$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blues | 51c | 827.27$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.36 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ducks | 61c | 820$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ducks | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Blues | 50c | 800$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Ducks | 61c | 754.32$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 17c | 749.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ducks | 59c | 700$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Ducksthis page
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.