NHL · resolved market
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671a7a89dfa430bb560c3a0b29da55666fd7e4e57215a80fe57d020bf22e88de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Ducks, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,346 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Ducks | 40c | 9,350$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.87 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Ducks | 40c | 3,853$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 60c | 2,951$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.55 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 60c | 2,820$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 60c | 2,222$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Ducks | 40c | 1,640$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Blues | 60c | 1,231$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 60c | 947$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 62c | 759.12$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 38c | 519.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Blues | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Blues | 60c | 480.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 40c | 476$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Blues | 60c | 464.63$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.85 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blues | 60c | 438$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Blues | 60c | 426.23$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 30c | 315.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues | 62c | 264.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Ducks | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 39c | 216.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blues | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Ducks | 41c | 188.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 61c | 186.64$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Blues | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Blues | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Blues | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Blues | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Blues | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blues | 60c | 109.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Ducks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Blues | 61c | 69.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blues | 60c | 66.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 18c | 61.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Ducks | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Ducks | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Ducks | 40c | 49.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ducks | 33c | 46.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Ducks | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Ducks | 33c | 34.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Ducks | 40c | 32.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ducks | 40c | 30.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Ducks | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blues | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blues | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. DucksBlues won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.