TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x011b…fcc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
442
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT21743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$82.5
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$72.97
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$298.85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT17759.9%106 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 177 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$26.28
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$44.69
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.92
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$37.69
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$79.21
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Showing 25 of 177 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$114.55
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$104.57
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$125.6
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$101.49
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+144%+$129.63
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.