MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x918af1caa24760f79a0702c72eb26a5fdf249d5faed9afa02fa77e211bb53d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Atlanta Braves, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,633 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,813$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.08 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 15c | 1,484$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,125$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,108$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 870.57$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.83 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 749.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.53 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 707.21$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 543$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 538.04$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 437.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 351$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.58 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 343.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 318$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 268.32$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 27c | 262$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 242.91$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 238.76$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 236$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 232.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 222.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 120.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 112.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…2837backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 103.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 95.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 90.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1b…7377backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 84.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 80.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 77.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 76.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 71.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 64.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 62.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 61.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 53.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 46.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 39.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 36.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 36.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 35.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 27.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 27.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.