TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc1d…faff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,007.06
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.15
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.36
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$171.62
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$705.54
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$133.64
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.33
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.08
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.7
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$865.49
Spread: Nuggets (-21.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.21
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$65.26
Spread: Pistons (-18.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.33
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$108.71
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.1
Spread: Suns (-12.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$959.85
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$12.87
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$26.99
Spread: Suns (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.96
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$536.84
Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.24
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,165.35
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$900.92
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$382.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Tom Gentzschbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$29.63
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.3
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$742.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$34
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.11
Shanxi Loongs vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$897.59
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,574Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,093.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$121.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$739.22
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$534
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$970
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$455.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$74.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$646.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$313.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$648
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.