NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f1cc3a3b47cf2f376c577c6b12e0ebd440b1a3edd24b4d026c61e0aacb79bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,730$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 8,429$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 7,612$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.77 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Magic | 63c | 7,319$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.39 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 57c | 6,934$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.54 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Magic | 54c | 5,684$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 5,448$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 48c | 4,784$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.7 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 59c | 3,011$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 71c | 2,944$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 50c | 2,286$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.9 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 28c | 2,170$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.03 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 68c | 2,080$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 53c | 1,944$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.49 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Magic | 57c | 1,795$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.14 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 58c | 1,725$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.56 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…919dbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,693$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,623$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…8463backed Timberwolves | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Magic | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.54 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,421$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,409$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,289$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,191$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.15 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.86 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.02 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,026$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 869.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.39 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 60c | 843.75$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 43c | 823.58$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 38c | 816.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.52 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 61c | 697.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 693.12$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 631.14$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 52c | 591.61$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…0f39backed Timberwolves | 39c | 560.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 39c | 552.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 35c | 547.3$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Magic | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 502.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 499.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 37c | 495.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.11 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 478.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 436.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 54c | 434.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Magic | 68c | 434.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Timberwolves | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Magic | 50c | 428.59$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 424$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Magic | 72c | 416.25$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Magic | 58c | 399.79$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 42c | 398.5$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…5940backed Magic | 49c | 393.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 379.46$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.56 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…3f80backed Timberwolves | 40c | 357.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…9a0bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 344.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…a773backed Magic | 49c | 310.21$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Timberwolves | 42c | 295.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3369…0811backed Timberwolves | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Timberwolves | 51c | 265.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 244.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Magic | 55c | 238.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Magic | 60c | 228.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 61c | 224.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Magic | 60c | 223.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Timberwolves | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 46c | 213.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 204.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…a60ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 199.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Magic | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Timberwolves | 50c | 189.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 189.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Timberwolves | 35c | 188.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 187.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Timberwolves | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Magic | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Magic | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Magic | 51c | 161.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…5665backed Timberwolves | 40c | 160.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 153.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 152.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 51c | 151.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Magic | 66c | 149.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Magic | 67c | 142.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Magic | 52c | 135.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 31c | 135.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0d…c27bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 132.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.