NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9afbb3743319a44d41ab2a5236acc0d988718897dcdb26f4eae126e0a86075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Timberwolves, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,139,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,208,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,139,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff52…8ccfbacked Magic | 78c | 112,340$87,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,898.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 19c | 93,412$17,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,748.23 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Magic | 72c | 77,242$55,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,912.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 21c | 73,540$15,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,459.43 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 20c | 60,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 76c | 53,984$41,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,935.82 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Timberwolves | 22c | 52,395$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,526.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Timberwolves | 19c | 52,327$9,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,942.13 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 78c | 52,187$40,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Magic | 73c | 51,602$37,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,998.22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 17c | 27,584$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.88 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 19c | 23,603$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 23,012$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 21,221$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.93 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves | 0c | 20,908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Magic | 71c | 19,603$13,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.8 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 19,403$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.52 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 18,714$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.68 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Timberwolves | 23c | 18,651$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.74 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…46ecbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 18,018$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 27c | 17,930$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.54 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 27c | 16,500$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.95 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 15,500$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.95 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Timberwolves | 28c | 14,861$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.92 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Magic | 77c | 14,825$11,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.81 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 14,525$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Magic | 80c | 14,175$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.74 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 78c | 14,104$11,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.82 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 71c | 13,671$9,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,003.43 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 70c | 13,341$9,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Magic | 80c | 12,226$9,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Timberwolves | 33c | 11,773$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.67 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Timberwolves | 17c | 11,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Magic | 75c | 10,457$7,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.37 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Timberwolves | 25c | 9,584$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.08 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 9,407$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.49 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 15c | 9,316$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 9,100$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.97 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 33c | 8,471$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.46 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Timberwolves | 32c | 8,453$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Timberwolves | 23c | 8,294$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.6 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Timberwolves | 32c | 8,154$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Timberwolves | 12c | 8,072$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.54 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 8,057$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.74 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Magic | 78c | 7,755$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.06 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 27c | 7,328$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.36 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Timberwolves | 27c | 7,277$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.41 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 24c | 7,139$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Timberwolves | 22c | 7,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.99 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Magic | 77c | 6,677$5,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.69 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 27c | 6,470$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Timberwolves | 27c | 6,395$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.97 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…8179backed Magic | 66c | 6,281$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…6332backed Timberwolves | 23c | 6,278$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Magic | 79c | 6,265$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.22 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8ef3backed Timberwolves | 4c | 6,192$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.49 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 22c | 6,143$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.46 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5c9abacked Timberwolves | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 18c | 5,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 18c | 5,282$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.8 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 5,194$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.11 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves | 35c | 5,072$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.76 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed Timberwolves | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Magic | 79c | 4,999$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.89 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…7314backed Magic | 80c | 4,970$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 73c | 4,903$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.75 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Timberwolves | 37c | 4,902$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Timberwolves | 19c | 4,762$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.78 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 1c | 4,679$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Magic | 60c | 4,631$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.56 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 4,626$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.37 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,581$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.21 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 24c | 4,524$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Timberwolves | 28c | 4,400$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,396$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.03 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,267$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.01 | 468 | 47.4%222 W · 246 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Magic | 66c | 4,265$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.96 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Timberwolves | 17c | 4,191$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 27c | 4,152$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 21c | 4,150$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 4,147$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Magic | 78c | 4,079$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.28 | 244 | 58.2%142 W · 102 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,075$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.05 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…0b9cbacked Timberwolves | 5c | 4,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 3,815$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.5 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Timberwolves | 18c | 3,775$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.84 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 32c | 3,711$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 21c | 3,678$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 3,666$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 3,649$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.18 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 3,610$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.95 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 3,599$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…3b06backed Timberwolves | 26c | 3,573$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.96 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Timberwolves | 25c | 3,534$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.87 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Timberwolves | 34c | 3,531$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.5 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.