NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c5f436cda87b0af5f68bdc2018d223a0905405e08cee18d2e345f56a90ff5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 44,683$23,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,361.7 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 48c | 29,939$14,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,271.15 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 6,116$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.76 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 5,173$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.42 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 4,559$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 26c | 4,535$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 68c | 3,262$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.61 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 53c | 2,870$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.88 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 2,509$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.41 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 49c | 2,143$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 48c | 1,855$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.29 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Over | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.41 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 952.7$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 946.45$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 915$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 801.77$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 50c | 552.15$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 42c | 544$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 48c | 464.22$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 399.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 396.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 50c | 396.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.97 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 47c | 388.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.64 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 326.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 325.61$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 47c | 295.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 48c | 290.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 46c | 283.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 242.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 48c | 202.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…ba2cbacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Under | 54c | 177.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 157.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 148.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 48c | 143.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 48c | 143.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 128.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 19c | 97.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 95.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 85.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Under | 47c | 73.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Over | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…15afbacked Under | 45c | 70.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 60.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 48c | 54.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 68c | 53.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 47c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 33c | 47.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 48c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 46c | 42.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Over | 52c | 40.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 52c | 40.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Under | 43c | 40.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Under | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Under | 48c | 38.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 37c | 36.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Over | 47c | 36.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 67c | 36.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…07e7backed Under | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 48c | 34.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 47c | 34.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 71c | 34.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 32.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…d8e4backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1c…231fbacked Under | 48c | 28.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 27.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.