TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,313

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c44,683$23,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,361.711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under48c29,939$14,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,271.151,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under53c6,116$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.761,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c5,173$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.422,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c4,559$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under26c4,535$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over68c3,262$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6110239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under53c2,870$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.881,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under48c2,509$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.4137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaeb…a226backed Under49c2,143$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.011546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under48c1,855$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.2932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…eca0backed Over53c1,122$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.417451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c952.7$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c946.45$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.071,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over50c915$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.520051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c801.77$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28249345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1814549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c552.15$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under42c544$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Under48c464.22$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.823748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under48c403.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7638453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c399.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.741,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c396.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.971,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c396.52$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under47c388.6$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6416147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3636450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under51c326.86$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c325.61$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under47c295.07$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under48c290.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over46c283.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c242.43$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c242$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1668645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Under46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7611759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under48c202.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3449852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d4…ba2cbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Over47c193.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.637231.9%23 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1818552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8317758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.421347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda65…0f34backed Under54c177.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.712133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c157.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c148.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over48c143.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5415353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under48c143.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c128.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4138545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under19c97.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.287057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c95.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.531,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.539848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c85.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.432,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under48c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7515651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9a…4d42backed Under47c73.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.644953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Over54c71.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f01…15afbacked Under45c70.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.067350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c60.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under48c54.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1723840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Over54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.853435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over68c53.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9837753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Under47c48.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9919245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.275060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under33c47.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6131953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under48c44.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.638751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under46c42.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6724150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Over72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4712855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Over52c40.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-79.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Over52c40.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5811751.3%60 W · 57 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Under43c40.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.196943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Under47c38.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.29454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Under48c38.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4115053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over76c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1215562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under37c36.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Over47c36.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Over67c36.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.944841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc4…07e7backed Under40c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.464742.6%20 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under49c35.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4516749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Under48c34.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5522454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over47c34.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.263345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over71c34.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9714237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c32.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad0…d8e4backed Over47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1c…231fbacked Under48c28.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.825251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7fe…5a93backed Under53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over51c27.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.421,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.