TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c22,379$10,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,457.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over54c21,901$11,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,181.3332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over55c10,573$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.071,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c3,717$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over49c3,333$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.88429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c2,536$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.7219359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c2,504$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.6586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c2,026$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Over55c1,947$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.056352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under43c1,339$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.628838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,330$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under46c1,130$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.5951753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c1,050$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under49c1,009$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.574544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under46c940$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8772…7782backed Over48c840.79$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c650.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under45c636.03$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.631,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c632.6$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under48c582.55$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.639845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c519$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c519$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c519$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.691,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c519$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6929849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under11c504.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under46c472.79$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under45c462.01$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.916656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under48c452.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed Over48c428.4$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.778727.6%24 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…19c1backed Under46c401.76$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over57c400.15$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under42c399.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under45c320.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1329344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c300$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Under49c297.35$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.42544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c296.89$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4135546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under40c224.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Under45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.712149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under13c211.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under43c209.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5881349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c203.71$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Under50c198.85$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4318839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Under50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0611648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0623445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0613153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c164.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.021,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under44c149.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.341,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed Under51c145.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c133$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.182,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over55c124.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5518459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c124.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Under50c109.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7837848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c85.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under47c80.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.755549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over57c76.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8236852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cb…4789backed Under42c69.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.262045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under42c69.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2616653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Over53c64.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Under46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.036237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under50c58.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2811455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under42c57.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.037057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over51c55.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2719550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over51c52.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.568762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over55c48.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8915353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c47.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over51c47.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3211346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.275060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under51c47.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…5853backed Under41c44.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Under45c43.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over53c42.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9516053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Under46c42.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.365427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under41c41.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1255444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Under50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44930.6%15 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c38.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.415151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.316749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b9…dffdbacked Over52c34.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under50c31.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5241654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over56c29.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.853650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over53c29.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.717945.6%36 W · 43 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.