NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d43bddbd1403ea345ef3516349cace26c59628df736b2d0d8c4084baa97a63a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 22,379$10,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,457.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 21,901$11,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,181.33 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 10,573$5,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.07 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 3,717$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.8 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 2,536$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.72 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 45c | 2,504$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.65 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,026$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Over | 55c | 1,947$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.05 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Under | 43c | 1,339$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.62 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,330$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.59 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 49c | 1,009$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…31a0backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 46c | 940$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…7782backed Over | 48c | 840.79$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 10c | 650.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 636.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 632.6$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 48c | 582.55$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 519$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 519$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 519$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 519$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 11c | 504.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 472.79$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 45c | 462.01$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.91 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 48c | 452.17$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 48c | 428.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…19c1backed Under | 46c | 401.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 57c | 400.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 320.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Under | 49c | 297.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 296.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 224.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 13c | 211.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 43c | 209.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 203.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Under | 50c | 198.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 164.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 149.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed Under | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 124.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 124.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 50c | 109.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 85.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 47c | 80.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 57c | 76.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Under | 42c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 42c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Over | 53c | 64.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 50c | 58.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 42c | 57.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 51c | 55.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 51c | 52.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 47.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 51c | 47.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 51c | 47.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Under | 41c | 44.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Under | 45c | 43.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 53c | 42.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 46c | 42.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 41c | 41.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 38.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…8804backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…dffdbacked Over | 52c | 34.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.