NBA · resolved market
Spread: Magic (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd8587527a5743bf5dd6b1521175e104375b80900ff74288ea5bedeba45ec08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 54,651$24,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,231.56 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Magic | 56c | 34,920$19,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,368.38 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.95 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 54c | 10,518$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Magic | 52c | 6,169$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.15 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,428$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.44 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 54c | 4,810$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.1 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Timberwolves | 42c | 3,938$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Magic | 55c | 3,045$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.12 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic | 55c | 3,024$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.83 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Magic | 55c | 2,744$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.93 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Magic | 55c | 2,744$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Magic | 55c | 2,744$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.93 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 55c | 2,661$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.6 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 44c | 2,305$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,112$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Magic | 57c | 1,948$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Magic | 61c | 1,772$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.2 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,732$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Magic | 55c | 1,717$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.81 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 49c | 1,439$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.98 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Magic | 55c | 1,415$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.87 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 1,357$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Magic | 57c | 1,218$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.63 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Magic | 54c | 1,017$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.93 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 52c | 974.76$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.89 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 46c | 960.89$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 51c | 950.49$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.75 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 920.94$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.14 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Magic | 54c | 893.87$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Timberwolves | 48c | 858.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.31 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Magic | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.44 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 58c | 620.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Magic | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Magic | 54c | 493.4$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Timberwolves | 43c | 458.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Timberwolves | 45c | 400$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Timberwolves | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Timberwolves | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Magic | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Magic | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Magic | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Magic | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Magic | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Timberwolves | 25c | 342.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Timberwolves | 45c | 333.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 52c | 329.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 307.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Magic | 51c | 293.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Magic | 58c | 279.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Magic | 54c | 262.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 260.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Magic | 56c | 232.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Timberwolves | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Magic | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Magic | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Magic | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Magic | 54c | 178.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Magic | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Timberwolves | 49c | 166.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Magic | 49c | 165.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 161.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Magic | 51c | 155.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Magic | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Magic | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Magic | 54c | 134.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 48c | 117.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Timberwolves | 45c | 116.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Timberwolves | 48c | 104.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 53c | 99.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Magic | 54c | 99.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Magic | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Magic | 54c | 96.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Magic | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Magic | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Magic | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Magic | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Magic | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 82.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 76.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Magic | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Magic | 74c | 64.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 46c | 62.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Timberwolves | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 60.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Magic | 54c | 58.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…e77ebacked Magic | 52c | 57.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f68…bcd8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 56.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Magic | 54c | 55.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Magic | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timberwolves | 37c | 51.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Timberwolves | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Timberwolves | 46c | 46.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Magic | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Timberwolves | 41c | 43.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Magic (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-15.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-18.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-20.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Magic won
- Timberwolves vs. MagicMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 240.5Over won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.