TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x938e…9b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
791
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT48150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 481 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$57.64
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.62
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Showing 25 of 481 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT26755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 267 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.45
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$65
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.45
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$70.42
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.22
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.38
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$120
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 267 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.8
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.58
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-2.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.46
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-9.5)backed Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$75.66
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.8
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.53
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$45.81
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.32
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$65.6
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.87
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$73.74
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.14
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$48.61
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$44.96
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$71.4
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.46
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.23
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Ramsbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$67.11
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84%+$41.62
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$132.29
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.73
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.38
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.