MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d47449b105669983ffccd94cac9ac3ab7f5afb44da7005124cc1698ce9c43e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 51c | 9,300$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 6,154$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 48c | 2,819$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.36 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 2,629$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.43 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,977$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 45c | 1,243$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.16 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 57c | 1,205$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.79 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 1,113$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 1,014$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.8 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 52c | 975$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.45 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 964.32$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.52 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 50c | 964.32$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.86 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 911.11$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 740$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 655$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 51c | 609.98$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Under | 44c | 607.85$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 601.35$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 44c | 575.56$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 515.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Over | 53c | 506.66$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 57c | 500.08$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 50c | 500$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 404.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…f59bbacked Under | 26c | 385$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 74c | 380$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 49c | 351.76$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.36 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 54c | 342.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 56c | 284.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 264.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 52c | 264.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Over | 36c | 251.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 234.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed Under | 46c | 216.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Under | 48c | 203.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 60c | 199$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Over | 51c | 194.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 181.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 51c | 162.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 161.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 158.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 142.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 134.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Over | 56c | 133.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 53c | 129.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Over | 53c | 125.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Over | 51c | 121.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Over | 51c | 120.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 109.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 43c | 107.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 102.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 60c | 96.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Under | 44c | 93.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 87.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Over | 56c | 85.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 50c | 79.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 55c | 58.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Over | 50c | 56.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 50c | 54.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864d…9c2ebacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 51.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 50.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 56c | 49.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 56c | 49.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Under | 43c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 56c | 43.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 56c | 43.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Under | 33c | 42.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 40.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 38.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 52c | 38.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…5a25backed Over | 56c | 37.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…3ceabacked Over | 61c | 35.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 36c | 30.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.