MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd738da729172aee7bd3fbe4b8fb51de3f22d8de4d961e4b4c49afa7802c2c347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 54c | 27,600$14,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,822.58 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Over | 47c | 14,845$6,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.56 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 7,866$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 47c | 6,803$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.16 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 53c | 6,147$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.74 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 5,271$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.71 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 4,258$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 2,168$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Under | 53c | 1,892$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 54c | 1,579$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 1,547$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 1,533$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 1,389$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 1,361$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,145$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.74 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 59c | 959.88$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.09 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 872.04$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 44c | 788.47$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.31 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 749.83$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 53c | 661.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Over | 47c | 615.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 610.37$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.01 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 550.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.9 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 47c | 433.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 396.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 390.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…725dbacked Under | 53c | 371.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 368.89$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked Under | 51c | 279.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 274.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 47c | 237.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 237$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 61c | 225.08$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 215.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 186.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 46c | 182.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 171.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 57c | 150.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Under | 29c | 146.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Over | 48c | 134.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 34c | 121.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 109.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 98.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 67c | 96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 26c | 94.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Over | 29c | 85.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 26c | 84.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 80.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 51c | 79.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 49c | 71.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 68.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 47c | 63.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Under | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 57c | 57.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 40c | 57.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 51c | 57.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Over | 65c | 57.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 46.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 49c | 44.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 48c | 44.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 44.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 42.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 41.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over | 51c | 41.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 46c | 41.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Under | 65c | 40.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Over | 40c | 37.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 48c | 35.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Under | 40c | 35.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…c459backed Under | 57c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 59c | 32.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Under | 40c | 31.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 55c | 31.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Under | 46c | 30.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 40c | 29.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…a781backed Under | 53c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b240backed Over | 54c | 27.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.