TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c25…606e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT9542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$345.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+270.3%+$34.51
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.79
Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.47
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.65
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.32
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$46.97
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.48
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$47.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$11.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$18.72
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.92
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+300%+$57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$25.5
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$16.2
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+73.9%+$42.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+76.5%+$26.53
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+87.8%+$21.46
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+284.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+205.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+320.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$241.11
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+506.2%+$107.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+377.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+855.6%+$153.71
Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+124.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+349%+$158.58
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,198.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team RA'AD vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)backed Team RA'AD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+1,198.7%+$184.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.