Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4cb27a426b34ca0c4b775dc6ca847e211f3a29501df512cc8314a001c65a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 6,710$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 22c | 4,477$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 73c | 1,158$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed Yes | 27c | 1,084$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 73c | 1,013$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 946.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 653.88$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 73c | 564$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 26c | 462$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 386.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 74c | 334$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed Yes | 27c | 324$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked Yes | 27c | 314$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 27c | 259.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Yes | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed No | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 73c | 108.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 105.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 22c | 98.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 12c | 98.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 68.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 64.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 28c | 56.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 41.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 30c | 35.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 33.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 29.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 77c | 12.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.