Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6787b4bb81b45f4d22ee5ee141df6eca5268bfbf2cf61ba76323b056b2eb4d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,220 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 9,493$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 31c | 1,836$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 41c | 1,780$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…b2f4backed Yes | 41c | 1,214$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked No | 69c | 1,058$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 59c | 1,013$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 59c | 1,011$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 69c | 910$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed No | 13c | 731.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 22c | 454.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed No | 59c | 443.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 61c | 412.87$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 17c | 386.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 39c | 383.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.03 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 79c | 354.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 328.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 318.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…eb0dbacked No | 60c | 240.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 12c | 227.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 31c | 187$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 75c | 182.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 16c | 181.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd59c…bb63backed Yes | 76c | 162.08$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 148.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 114.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 20c | 113.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0025…644cbacked Yes | 80c | 113.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 31c | 113.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 109.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Yes | 40c | 95.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 24c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 41c | 81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 55.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 41c | 54.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…c0f5backed No | 24c | 48.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 47.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fd72backed Yes | 64c | 35.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 59c | 30.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…f659backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.