TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4faa…fecf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.29
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.2
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$132.84
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.87
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.92
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$413.1
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.9%+$46.92
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.22
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+123.6%+$100.6
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.46
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$53.82
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$71.44
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.52
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$181.74
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
Will Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.53
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$94.25
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.54
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.16
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.98
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.02
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$30
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+563.4%+$67.09
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.48
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.4
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.28
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$228.28
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$281.82
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$55.48
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.92
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$97.44
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.52
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$197.06
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.68
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.36
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.23
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.73
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125.18
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.06
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$116.07
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$57.24
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.1%+$43.37
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.52
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$569.56
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$221.76
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$175.68
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$211.81
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$437.74
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.72
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+123%+$57.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+170.9%+$291.46
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.91
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.5%+$51.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.93
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$109.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$236.98
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$59.19
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$134.64
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$175.18
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.13
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.34
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$171.72
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27.9%+$43.16
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+74.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+51.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+83.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will B8 qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.86
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$255.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+129.9%+$37.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$170.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kalen DeBoer be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.