NHL · resolved market
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f80a3bd274ff36b37bc6d389ad9f5ad24eeea8ba4767719bd09815cd8a15fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 12c | 5,261$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.62 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,022$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…6e18backed Yes | 13c | 1,669$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,475$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,420$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…6bbfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,122$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 18c | 1,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 78c | 1,044$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.42 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes | 12c | 929$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 12c | 892$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 873.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 12c | 836$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…1df9backed Yes | 6c | 782.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 11c | 702$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 12c | 649$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 11c | 633$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed Yes | 12c | 569$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 12c | 567$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 8c | 534.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 528.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 11c | 509$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 453.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 12c | 433$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Yes | 10c | 431.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed Yes | 12c | 428$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 14cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed Yes | 12c | 413$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 12c | 396$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 12c | 389$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 12c | 384$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 9c | 343.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes | 13c | 337.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…4d8bbacked Yes | 7c | 336.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 8c | 329.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Yes | 13c | 323.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…d5ddbacked Yes | 18c | 322.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…f997backed Yes | 16c | 308.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…81aabacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Yes | 11c | 298.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed Yes | 13c | 294$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…abd8backed Yes | 18c | 268.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…e74cbacked Yes | 15c | 261.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 17c | 258.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 9c | 258$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 8c | 258$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…3d8cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb73…3a88backed Yes | 8c | 248.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 236.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3daabacked Yes | 12c | 218.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…3f22backed Yes | 16c | 201.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 12c | 194$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…8ce4backed Yes | 14c | 190.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 183.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…687bbacked Yes | 18c | 178.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 12c | 177.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 12c | 171$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 161.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e258backed Yes | 10c | 143.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 11c | 131.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…5efabacked Yes | 10c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…5470backed Yes | 11c | 110.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 11c | 109.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 103.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 20c | 100.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 90.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7642…55ccbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 60c | 42.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?this page
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Atlantic Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.