TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7efb…68a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$9.4
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.95
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$8.42
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.65
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.62
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$34.37
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.49
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$13.06
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
Will Adam Perez Arquette be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.82
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117%+$36.07
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$18.03
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$17.63
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+634.1%+$63.92
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$9.7
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+129.1%+$26.41
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$8.92
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 48%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.99
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$13.14
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+105%+$37.4
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+382.5%+$52.83
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$5.59
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$3.72
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$45.69
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38%+$7.9
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+283.1%+$42.47
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+279.3%+$41.89
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$5.85
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.69
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.26
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.27
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.03
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick39cpaid+140.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.63
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$110.95
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.71
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+250.8%+$50.86
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.52
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$19.62
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$18.52
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-85.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$4.45
Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$13.31
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.01
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$16.22
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.08
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.15
Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+93.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Barletta: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Maxime Chazalbacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.88
Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Pedro Vives Marcosbacked Matteo Martineau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+77%+$11.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.46
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$6.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+251.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+251.4%+$25.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$20.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.