Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16711932e48692c37b0be92837cc09c015063d8cbf124e916f393f143d741af0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 10c | 2,311$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Yes | 11c | 1,559$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 71c | 1,506$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…aa8dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,486$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…ab82backed Yes | 13c | 1,467$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 11c | 1,268$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 19c | 1,096$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…cacebacked Yes | 11c | 1,053$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 11c | 929.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed Yes | 11c | 859.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…0b45backed Yes | 12c | 769.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 724.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 19c | 650.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 588.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 32c | 518$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…0179backed Yes | 11c | 502.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 34c | 500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.73 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…b15dbacked Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 25c | 412.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…8796backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…a41cbacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 79c | 394.26$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 29c | 355.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 76c | 353$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked Yes | 24c | 342.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 70c | 330$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed Yes | 11c | 330$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 18c | 320.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 28c | 320$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 314.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 21c | 301.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 23c | 263.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 263$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 10c | 259.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b4…5353backed No | 68c | 255$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 249$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 28c | 225.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 13c | 215.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 203.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…ee6abacked No | 79c | 201.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…dc32backed Yes | 28c | 200.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 10c | 199.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 14c | 180.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 24c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 70c | 167.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 65c | 166$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…d24abacked Yes | 11c | 163.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 163.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bf…45bdbacked Yes | 28c | 154.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…4986backed Yes | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 76c | 143.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 24c | 126.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 29c | 110.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 110.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 74c | 95.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed No | 78c | 95.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 18c | 90.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 24c | 84.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 27c | 77.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 24c | 76.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked Yes | 30c | 72.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Yes | 31c | 71.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 26c | 66.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…188fbacked No | 69c | 65.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…f486backed No | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 63c | 60.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…a7b9backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed Yes | 28c | 57.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 78c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 57c | 53.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 19c | 52.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…1e16backed Yes | 21c | 51.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 25c | 50.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…e2c6backed No | 65c | 50.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…f793backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…4f75backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 65c | 49.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 73c | 49.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 46.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 72c | 45.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 68c | 45.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…cbc4backed Yes | 28c | 42.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 30c | 40.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dd…3d3ebacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
- Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.