TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7980…fead

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
266
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT21849.5%108 W · 110 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 218 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$70.07
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+431%+$1,422.43
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$24.63
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.39
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.4
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 218 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,077.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$43.56
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$1,825.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$85.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.