NHL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd50349a2c87d5a64128c40574f310f60a130d8aaf955bd3d3d69aab62b1df539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $275,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc74d…bb53backed Yes | 43c | 49,000$21,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,930 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 70c | 46,630$32,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,975.37 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 57c | 43,034$24,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,525.39 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 30c | 40,639$12,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,035.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes | 79c | 25,734$20,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 68c | 13,688$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed No | 30c | 10,443$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.9 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 10,211$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.27 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 69c | 7,891$5,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Yes | 55c | 7,800$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 31c | 6,226$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 68c | 5,497$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.6 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked No | 30c | 4,967$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…6d59backed No | 4c | 4,755$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 18c | 4,492$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed No | 7c | 4,384$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Yes | 71c | 3,804$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 60c | 3,702$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.13 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 69c | 3,210$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 31c | 2,760$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.57 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 64c | 2,746$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.72 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Yes | 74c | 2,549$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…ea6bbacked No | 4c | 2,481$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 2,469$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed No | 18c | 2,313$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 47c | 1,829$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.63 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,821$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.03 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…3813backed No | 39c | 1,785$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 1,757$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.24 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 62c | 1,732$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.74 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 57c | 1,477$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.79 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…fa55backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…cb68backed Yes | 71c | 1,370$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 37c | 1,365$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.2 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes | 57c | 1,022$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.58 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 73c | 980$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…f97bbacked No | 42c | 953$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 71c | 943.74$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.88 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 4c | 928.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Yes | 58c | 904.08$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 54c | 900.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…40fcbacked Yes | 55c | 896.93$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0c…9029backed No | 39c | 838.28$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 35c | 805.85$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed No | 65c | 804.89$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…923bbacked Yes | 71c | 728.17$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 19c | 711.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Yes | 37c | 702.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…4875backed No | 4c | 682.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 612$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 29c | 600.11$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.61 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 69c | 584.64$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…cfb3backed Yes | 64c | 535.17$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 70c | 531.29$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 54c | 516.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 498$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 39c | 463$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 57c | 461.38$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…38a7backed No | 4c | 416.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 415$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8408backed Yes | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 393.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 31c | 390.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…2ed7backed No | 40c | 378.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 369$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.06 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…b9b8backed Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 35c | 338.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7c…d18ebacked Yes | 55c | 315.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 30c | 308.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 20c | 303.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 58c | 301.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.57 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 50c | 300.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 43c | 299.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…4080backed No | 20c | 294$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…2f3dbacked Yes | 58c | 260.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 235$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Yes | 73c | 228$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked No | 45c | 224.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 66c | 213.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…2fa8backed No | 47c | 210.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…330ebacked Yes | 54c | 202.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…25a7backed No | 20c | 200.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 44c | 200.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…9ae8backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 63c | 173.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 169.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1108backed No | 39c | 169.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…b493backed No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.