TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7094…2770backed Yes3c3,322$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852c…2224backed Yes2c3,046$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes2c2,894$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7610336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x821b…c3b3backed Yes2c2,889$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2b…98b6backed Yes2c2,603$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e5…1ab3backed Yes2c2,294$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e52…3757backed Yes2c2,264$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes3c2,237$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1712438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9c…e230backed Yes2c2,149$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2089…f039backed Yes2c1,972$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…4b2abacked Yes2c1,942$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff78…ce53backed Yes2c1,909$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4033…0be7backed Yes3c1,868$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes5c1,858$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.282,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…4f6fbacked Yes3c1,855$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af3…450ebacked Yes4c1,822$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…59b1backed Yes2c1,772$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0071…3d98backed Yes2c1,748$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b9…3ed9backed Yes4c1,663$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397c…7aefbacked Yes2c1,650$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240b…76cabacked Yes3c1,643$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d87…6e1fbacked Yes2c1,640$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0a…9bfcbacked Yes2c1,629$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…37b3backed Yes2c1,607$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…aa84backed Yes3c1,445$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1721…cfa6backed Yes2c1,421$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…4277backed Yes2c1,419$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a4…c178backed Yes2c1,417$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb1…7b80backed Yes3c1,406$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x631a…df0abacked Yes3c1,372$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d72…fbc1backed Yes2c1,365$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e2…7786backed Yes2c1,361$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd8…9607backed Yes3c1,346$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bd…c2c2backed Yes4c1,339$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…eb3dbacked Yes3c1,335$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a72…f46bbacked Yes2c1,303$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98c…f628backed Yes2c1,292$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1cb…10eebacked Yes2c1,287$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e03…d9e0backed Yes2c1,276$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4081…1032backed Yes3c1,266$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x465e…9692backed Yes3c1,245$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb06…b547backed Yes3c1,244$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3381…b351backed Yes4c1,240$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd21…d46abacked Yes3c1,237$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…57e8backed Yes2c1,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce97…51eebacked Yes2c1,193$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7b…cc48backed Yes4c1,190$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b3…fb78backed Yes2c1,188$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc38…f623backed Yes4c1,187$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…eb04backed Yes3c1,155$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…d713backed Yes4c1,127$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a40…1393backed Yes3c1,123$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0e…de47backed Yes2c1,115$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf309…c42dbacked Yes4c1,114$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e17…4e55backed Yes4c1,096$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d7e…9d48backed Yes2c1,083$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6102…fcfcbacked Yes2c1,082$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b82…83acbacked Yes2c1,077$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…9deabacked Yes2c1,050$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2df…2e05backed Yes3c1,034$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f71…75adbacked Yes2c974$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9033…343fbacked Yes3c969$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf07c…5002backed Yes2c968$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e1…b73cbacked Yes4c965$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c0…db46backed Yes2c953$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3233…ef73backed Yes2c950$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b18…1ab2backed Yes2c942$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…007abacked Yes3c937$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd967…4e69backed Yes2c936$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e55…6296backed Yes4c928$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1004…3c15backed Yes2c923$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…4ae2backed Yes3c920$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes3c895.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7652451%267 W · 257 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d8…ddf8backed Yes4c881$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc06f…f952backed Yes2c879$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…3db7backed Yes2c871$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbd…4e5bbacked Yes2c867$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…539dbacked Yes2c863$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e28…1236backed Yes2c841$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440f…b6f0backed Yes2c827$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb53c…4220backed Yes2c814$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c96…c27fbacked Yes2c813$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…08d9backed Yes2c775$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…440cbacked Yes3c773$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1896…9751backed Yes3c759$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60bc…2900backed Yes2c755$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…f351backed Yes2c749$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fae…7b03backed Yes2c747$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa00…acb0backed Yes2c743$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c9…e011backed Yes2c737$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e3…1a41backed Yes2c736$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3400…2f8bbacked Yes3c732$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…c87cbacked Yes2c730$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…56b4backed Yes2c722$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc2…3e11backed Yes2c709$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab12…44d4backed Yes2c690$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba0…1258backed Yes2c681$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…70aebacked Yes3c675$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf933…b0bfbacked Yes3c673$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c53…2217backed Yes2c661$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.