NHL · resolved market
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7f6146e61986ae9579c6b8e0b14889186e5927d4a65f6169142e220f451a3b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21a9…ec02backed Yes | 6c | 2,491$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7921…88d4backed Yes | 6c | 2,338$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e53…ebefbacked Yes | 8c | 2,316$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e2…7417backed Yes | 8c | 2,189$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…05febacked Yes | 3c | 2,125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…23f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,767$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…5236backed Yes | 3c | 1,707$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…50b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,651$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…33adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,604$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…bef4backed Yes | 8c | 1,572$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…3d02backed Yes | 3c | 1,492$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…f3f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,446$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577f…ed6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,405$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…cd4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,391$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…4a9dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,382$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…281bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,259$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…6be1backed Yes | 3c | 1,207$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…92d8backed Yes | 6c | 1,183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…c28dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…7b1abacked Yes | 8c | 1,091$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…0ed2backed Yes | 6c | 1,073$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…c5c5backed Yes | 6c | 999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…6df6backed Yes | 6c | 987$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…f46ebacked Yes | 8c | 967$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…c31cbacked Yes | 8c | 871$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…7c14backed Yes | 6c | 844$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df1…0f0ebacked Yes | 8c | 829$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…325dbacked Yes | 6c | 776$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ffbfbacked Yes | 7c | 737$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…2d7abacked Yes | 7c | 603$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…3175backed Yes | 7c | 547$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…42eebacked Yes | 7c | 528$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…36ffbacked Yes | 7c | 527$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…28c2backed Yes | 7c | 489$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…4768backed Yes | 7c | 483$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…f785backed Yes | 7c | 476$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…ca93backed Yes | 5c | 472$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0572…e5b4backed Yes | 5c | 467$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 460$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…813abacked Yes | 5c | 425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…02d5backed Yes | 5c | 425$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…6fb7backed Yes | 5c | 413$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…6cf2backed Yes | 7c | 393$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 4c | 377.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 187.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.