TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,138

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3d33…7043backed Yes7c2,924$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…c20ebacked Yes7c2,279$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2095…753bbacked Yes6c2,271$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5835…4ba6backed Yes5c2,189$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24e…8d7ebacked Yes3c2,173$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab0…b709backed Yes7c2,118$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…67bcbacked Yes7c2,032$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5365…b30abacked Yes7c2,027$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82f…3c5cbacked Yes6c1,977$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f3…af06backed Yes5c1,969$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa309…76babacked Yes6c1,959$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ee…ff7bbacked Yes5c1,955$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d7…5a03backed Yes6c1,951$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc4…9113backed Yes7c1,924$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2412…b144backed Yes3c1,888$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a5…ab68backed Yes6c1,873$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c0…db46backed Yes9c1,840$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb275…133ebacked Yes2c1,835$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e5…c752backed Yes6c1,826$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…1ce1backed Yes6c1,800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ca…238cbacked Yes9c1,762$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bb…abbebacked Yes5c1,754$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b1…a596backed Yes6c1,743$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebbe…839bbacked Yes5c1,722$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a8…45b7backed Yes6c1,691$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe861…e822backed Yes6c1,668$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6b…3cb2backed Yes5c1,646$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa41…e96dbacked Yes7c1,636$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8406…46a5backed Yes6c1,592$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66d…adbcbacked Yes6c1,591$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7715…654fbacked Yes6c1,562$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb2…e58cbacked Yes5c1,558$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d03…56aebacked Yes3c1,544$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe96e…4f11backed Yes3c1,532$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…4220backed Yes6c1,526$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,525$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4222516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8b…ccb1backed Yes3c1,522$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f5…e4f1backed Yes6c1,515$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe107…aa5bbacked Yes2c1,504$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda38…7401backed Yes2c1,469$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad5…ae77backed Yes3c1,468$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…82efbacked Yes2c1,443$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd2…a272backed Yes2c1,442$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc559…ce9cbacked Yes6c1,438$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Yes7c1,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0607…d9f3backed Yes6c1,377$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8112…a99bbacked Yes6c1,373$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9b…dd57backed Yes2c1,353$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62e…99cfbacked Yes3c1,348$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bf…b27fbacked Yes2c1,320$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9336…4c2bbacked Yes2c1,309$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310a…f2aabacked Yes2c1,302$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…6c07backed Yes6c1,299$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbb…593bbacked Yes5c1,280$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d83…311ebacked Yes6c1,279$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b22…2ed8backed Yes2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf29…45fbbacked Yes5c1,208$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcda…f3adbacked Yes6c1,208$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7b…78b0backed Yes6c1,205$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes7c1,194$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.025137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc5…59dbbacked Yes6c1,192$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de4…b3afbacked Yes2c1,167$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a2…6f42backed Yes3c1,156$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d0…9648backed Yes6c1,122$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3444…1f79backed Yes2c1,120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba18…c855backed Yes6c1,093$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60bc…2900backed Yes6c1,056$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7683…6393backed Yes6c1,055$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c9…0407backed Yes5c1,041$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes12c1,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb858…9378backed Yes3c995$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5827…0c73backed Yes6c949$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…716ebacked Yes6c939$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1740…7765backed Yes5c927$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97d4…c5dcbacked Yes3c923$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f4…f79dbacked Yes2c822$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…7410backed Yes2c819$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7c…1f7abacked Yes2c780$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc2…70fbbacked Yes3c775$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…021dbacked Yes5c762$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…a71cbacked Yes2c761$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeab2…6a30backed Yes3c748$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb305…1c2bbacked Yes5c746$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83c…d2b6backed Yes2c736$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1517…b032backed Yes5c736$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…ec7abacked Yes5c716$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5f…8fa7backed Yes10c711$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23a3…d5ddbacked Yes6c698$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c4…daf1backed Yes6c694$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa1e…f880backed Yes6c654$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62b…2838backed Yes5c649$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd57…fc80backed Yes5c644$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a2…1f75backed Yes3c640$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ed…0ee0backed Yes6c633$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6763…5f9ebacked Yes5c622$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…effdbacked Yes5c622$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…2db2backed Yes5c612$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeae…92d8backed Yes5c606$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a9…ec02backed Yes6c599$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.