NHL · resolved market
Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d9740201334f234372fc29c130e703a340bff164b4b5135434d39f5be72b6ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6859…59cebacked Yes | 5c | 3,803$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8d…f3f4backed Yes | 5c | 2,131$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…edfdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,671$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b45…2601backed Yes | 5c | 1,579$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…3d02backed Yes | 5c | 1,475$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…f507backed Yes | 5c | 1,341$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e9…9a92backed Yes | 5c | 1,289$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…5ee0backed Yes | 5c | 1,254$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…23f1backed Yes | 5c | 1,241$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…6c4bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,177$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa76…36d1backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…f25abacked Yes | 5c | 1,063$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…6706backed Yes | 5c | 984$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…fccdbacked Yes | 5c | 918$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…a17dbacked Yes | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…281bbacked Yes | 5c | 893$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…3dc9backed Yes | 2c | 863$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…0569backed Yes | 2c | 843$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe753…bdd9backed Yes | 2c | 841$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…aec6backed Yes | 2c | 829$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…6d3bbacked Yes | 5c | 635$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…50b4backed Yes | 5c | 630$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…9f37backed Yes | 5c | 629$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…cbb1backed Yes | 5c | 629$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3f64backed Yes | 2c | 625$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…1a69backed Yes | 2c | 601$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…a2c4backed Yes | 2c | 559$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…afe8backed Yes | 5c | 556$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…133ebacked Yes | 2c | 536$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…4c2bbacked Yes | 2c | 461$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…5cf2backed Yes | 5c | 378$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Yes | 16c | 243.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.