TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b22…107f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT8446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.76
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+197.5%+$296.29
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.46
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$163.33
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$92.79
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$249.99
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$163.72
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$289.89
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$106.25
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$98.21
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.25
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$100.01
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+76.7%+$230.23
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.29
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$224.68
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+150.1%+$225.07
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$153.23
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+77.8%+$115.91
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+174.4%+$261.57
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$184.74
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$130
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.56
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.2%+$149.62
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87.5%+$201.27
Houston Cougars vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+87.8%+$243.12
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$172.54
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+162.8%+$206.78
Florida State Seminoles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+97.6%+$180.68
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+86.7%+$94.34
Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+87.3%+$99.32
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.95
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+71.1%+$106.59
Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$44.23
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+89%+$133.5
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$177.83
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$475.4
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+107%+$592.87
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.26
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+230.5%+$240.66
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.85
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$79.99
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$605.37
Big Game: 'NE Dynasty' Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+244.8%+$107.72
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$331.63
Jarrett Stidham: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.37
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will New England face Chicago in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.