Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef8328d05939bf692aca0e5db209978690d41b48f29151cdfc3bcd4f3c1e33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Illinois Fighting Illini, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf606…440abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 8,091$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.73 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 5,738$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 3,663$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.6 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 2,857$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.87 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…d256backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 59c | 2,760$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…85c1backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c9…139dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 2,180$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 2,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.99 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,998$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.02 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…d117backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 1,829$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 1,771$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 1,736$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,694$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.35 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 1,594$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,453$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.21 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,385$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.18 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,367$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.38 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 1,208$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.1 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 1,137$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.84 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 39c | 1,083$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 70c | 1,038$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.66 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 1,026$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.58 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 946.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 20c | 901.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.66 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 18c | 876.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Michigan State Spartans | 42c | 866$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 858.6$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.54 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 756$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.44 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 662.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 644.04$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.04 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 588.53$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 556.09$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 529.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 511.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 474$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.53 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 472.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 454.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 444.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 422$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 399.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Michigan State Spartans | 57c | 385.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 353.82$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 343.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 321.11$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 307.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 291.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 271.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 235.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 64c | 223$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Michigan State Spartans | 29c | 210.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cb…c79abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 200.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 182.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 177.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 176.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 172.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Michigan State Spartans | 45c | 172.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 162.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 144.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 138.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 68c | 138$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Michigan State Spartans | 39c | 137.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 124.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 124.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 42c | 104.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…75a1backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 90.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 86.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 85.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 59c | 84.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…8d2dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 32c | 76.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 74.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 66.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 64.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 63.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.