TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f22…55f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.77
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.74
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$398
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$126.42
Michigan Wolverines vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+73.8%+$332.47
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Memphis Tigers vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$182.68
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+120.7%+$120.65
BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53%+$106.1
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$171.91
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$344.65
SMU Mustangs vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$125.05
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.3%+$110.8
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$106.93
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$202.82
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$224.23
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.47
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$464
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+92.3%+$323.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$233.18
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+194.1%+$387.54
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+68.3%+$258.35
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.6%+$326.45
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$171.87
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$470.59
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$227.71
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.1%+$41.83
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176.79
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$125.88
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$337.15
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$245.16
1H Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$588.92
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+53.8%+$451.23
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$589.83
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$340
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$125
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+79%+$59.25
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$278.93
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+158.4%+$158.43
UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Jean Matsumoto (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$154.55
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$114.73
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Namajunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$180.3
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$110
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$200
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$230.33
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+127.3%+$252
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$181.03
Spread: Louisville (-8.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$517.4
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,222.22
Spread: Ohio State (-3.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$250
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$278.71
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.