TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bengalsof Bengals, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,924,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,052,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 756 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbda3…cab2backed Dolphins37c700,000$258,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258,659.74650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Bengals63c673,555$427,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,215.3311145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Dolphins35c206,888$72,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,410.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Dolphins37c89,832$33,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,237.9216836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Dolphins37c80,000$29,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,60010026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Bengals63c61,132$38,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,618.743767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Bengals67c60,649$40,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,230.811283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bengals63c58,000$36,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,2807440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins36c49,339$17,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,913.6730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Bengals64c31,726$20,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,488.594250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Bengals63c30,000$18,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,10011146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Dolphins35c26,247$9,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,166.5754451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bengals64c26,080$16,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,350.3411544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals63c25,000$15,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,15030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Dolphins37c24,044$8,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,896.284440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bengals63c23,732$14,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,789.6514349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bengals54c21,668$11,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,935.5873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bengals68c18,381$12,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,796.2611643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Bengals63c17,475$11,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,383.5119651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Bengals65c15,005$9,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.557657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Bengals64c14,501$9,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,258.054436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Bengals65c13,044$8,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.3714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Dolphins44c12,802$5,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,632.821741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Dolphins46c12,741$5,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,836.011225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins33c12,629$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.4975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bengals65c12,389$7,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.9412744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Dolphins0c12,200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1a…6dc0backed Dolphins37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4407051.4%36 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bengals64c10,604$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.651,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed Dolphins50c10,486$5,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Dolphins37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Dolphins37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Bengals63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Bengals63c9,988$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,695.5211750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Bengals64c9,716$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…0a75backed Bengals65c9,415$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dolphins40c8,910$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.3716045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bengals55c8,506$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.8119152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bengals57c8,481$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,646.9383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins2c8,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16033328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bengals61c7,817$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.9831854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Bengals65c7,760$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7163256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bengals61c7,580$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.5950242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.7610144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ca…efc3backed Bengals65c7,261$4,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Bengals54c7,028$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.8417648.9%86 W · 90 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Bengals64c6,944$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.8568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Dolphins1c6,855$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.951969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Bengals63c6,808$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5194146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97fc…148cbacked Bengals66c6,542$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bengals63c6,522$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.964362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd698…3cbdbacked Dolphins34c6,508$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Dolphins37c6,129$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.419645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bengals63c5,662$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.9453253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bengals63c5,641$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.9356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Dolphins34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.958351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bengals65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Bengals50c3,950$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9751450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Dolphins0c3,903$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bengals62c3,500$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.2120646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Bengals62c3,296$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.016250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Bengals63c3,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1841346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bengals52c3,082$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.7327348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Bengals65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.928461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bengals63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11015252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Bengals67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.075939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Dolphins39c2,868$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1117255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bengals63c2,865$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.1231848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dolphins34c2,844$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.9214342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x561a…8e0bbacked Bengals65c2,825$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bengals63c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bengals63c2,777$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.491,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins42c2,622$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins1c2,555$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.554311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6532…2fc8backed Dolphins35c2,514$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bengals76c2,283$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1623244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Dolphins25c2,164$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.7919543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Bengals73c2,161$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.6616254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Dolphins31c2,158$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.794047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe22a…bc07backed Dolphins49c2,109$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2946…1e6cbacked Dolphins49c2,079$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bengals60c2,063$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.7853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Bengals55c2,030$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.718156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Bengals67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603548.6%17 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Bengals63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Bengals64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Dolphins46c1,957$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6f4…72bcbacked Dolphins49c1,875$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2af…9414backed Bengals51c1,701$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Dolphins45c1,680$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.82748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaedc…ec9ebacked Dolphins49c1,674$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dcc…c90cbacked Bengals51c1,657$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bengals51c1,649$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.0932050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x436e…7f64backed Dolphins49c1,580$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8125…20f5backed Dolphins49c1,580$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…342abacked Bengals51c1,564$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd444…1bd3backed Bengals51c1,563$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09a0…2d96backed Bengals51c1,556$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Bengals66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1514763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.