NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e9afdc7d2582ef48b5b1e6722cc70dd30f083baf0e6488649d0479f8655509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Over | 52c | 72,268$37,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,688.4 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 53c | 40,500$21,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,035 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 38,768$18,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,608.64 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 54c | 19,889$10,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,148.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,977$4,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.22 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 54c | 8,333$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 46c | 7,185$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.19 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 54c | 4,599$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 3,355$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 3,340$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.3 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 2,000$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 1,501$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.45 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 1,257$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Over | 54c | 730$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Over | 53c | 722$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Over | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 49c | 631$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 623$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.81 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Over | 54c | 357.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 252.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f7e0backed Over | 51c | 235.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 191.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 47c | 191.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 189.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Over | 53c | 142.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…e729backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 27c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 47c | 118$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 54c | 101.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 54c | 79.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 79.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…bb74backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5this page
- Bengals vs. DolphinsBengals won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineBengals won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 23.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 49.5Over won
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bengals (-2.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Bengals won
- Spread: Bengals (-4.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.