TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c0f…09de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
430
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST15440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 154 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+405.2%+$92.02
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$84.59
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$229.45
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$104.66
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.97
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.78
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$77.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+203%+$35.26
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+110.5%+$42.86
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.4
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+148.2%+$81.14
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$25.91
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Showing 25 of 154 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST7943%34 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+158.9%+$53.73
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.72
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.65
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+131.5%+$128.51
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.1
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Kings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$23.91
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+114.3%+$67.16
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.09
Senators vs. Utahbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$26.36
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
Penguins vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Hurricanes vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.24
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$23.91
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$29.27
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST7841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.15
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.05
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+128.6%+$101.13
1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58.37
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+110.5%+$43.31
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+125.4%+$147.72
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+114.7%+$112.29
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.59
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+138.1%+$24.44
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.36
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+124.7%+$48.26
1H Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.98
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.98
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+166.7%+$64.95
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$33.16
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+174%+$65.99
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.74
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.55
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST4037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96.07
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+116.2%+$91.02
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.63
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.78
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+107.5%+$105.3
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$77.98
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$73.34
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.67
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.27
Spread: Utah (-14.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+115.1%+$44.14
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$38.79
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+143.9%+$27.44
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.23
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+174.1%+$66.9
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.59
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31.79
Spread: Army (-8.5)backed Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.09
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.07
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+148.8%+$35.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+168%+$24.54
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.66
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+195.5%+$207.12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$305.32
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.21
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$160.09
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.9
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: BYU Cougars (-13.5)backed Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.52
UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+147.6%+$29.08
Jackson State Tigers vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$97.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.23
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.17
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$47.32
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$38.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$46.16
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed Manchester United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+155.1%+$20.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
SS Lazio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.44
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.13
Pisa SC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$58.78
Juventus FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+122.2%+$95.44
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+65.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$93.64
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$119.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$49.34
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassoribacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+123.9%+$95.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.