TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over45c281,290$126,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,098.72347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under55c83,137$45,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,411.5527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c57,906$31,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,334.716,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c49,004$27,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,817.522,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c28,091$15,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,522.632,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under55c23,656$13,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,645.2721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c10,193$5,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.784,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under75c7,299$5,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.764671.7%33 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Over43c6,386$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.9521154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Under56c5,743$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.867759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25021965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under56c2,037$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.5849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under57c1,930$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.825947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under55c1,909$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.0524566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under58c1,773$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.2724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c1,631$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4915772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under64c1,558$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c1,344$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over45c1,309$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5893545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over24c1,250$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Under56c1,136$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.712070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over40c972.84$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.148646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Over44c828.64$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.651729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over75c732.04$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.032152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c715.25$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.161,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c79…1bd5backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under56c559.91$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.151,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4316552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over41c432.93$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over74c362.05$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under58c359.48$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.244938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.148655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13221839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12919357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over41c297.57$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over73c289.41$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.273630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over36c286.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…923dbacked Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e7b…8d55backed Over44c258.93$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640d…51e2backed Under65c252.31$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11017955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Under55c250$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.56741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10837557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10835157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Under42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Under66c212.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.261020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8137554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8137958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Under59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…a23cbacked Under67c179$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over40c174.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4910433.7%35 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414459.1%26 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Over44c170.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.091225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over64c163.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under59c163$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.831,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under58c127.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8858445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5435056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5432357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Under46c113.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.473751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under54c110.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5842658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Under26c108.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under56c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd443…4bcabacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c95.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7310046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ea…dd92backed Under22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.527661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Under59c88.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.483354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.