TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe4a7…613a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4050%20 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$55.47
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75.76
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$29.59
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.42
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Knicks vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.54
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+43.3%+$28.57
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54.35
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$138.96
Grizzlies vs. Wizardsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$19.68
Nets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$106.2
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$63.45
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+83.7%+$28.96
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.55
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$66.7
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$51.86
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32.61
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$696.66
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$239.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$666.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$118.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$94.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.83
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.06
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$97.6
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$75
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$118.44
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$38.36
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52.2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.62
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$69.3
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+59.8%+$155.74
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$215.23
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$117.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$119.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$131.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$94.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+77.3%+$77.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falkirk FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+45.1%+$45.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.