Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb283e4f89b6fc259568ce9a7f7ac7a53f175d3ce8fb80605753563073e21061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,145,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 120,192$83,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,641.69 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 72c | 104,208$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,207.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes | 66c | 82,196$54,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,130.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 28c | 76,163$21,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,337.4 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 31c | 74,999$23,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,249.84 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 56,985$13,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,552.57 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.95 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 43,948$11,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 40,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 30c | 20,337$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,087.58 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 31c | 15,400$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 30c | 15,290$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 12,647$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.39 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 10,697$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.47 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 70c | 9,652$6,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.48 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 7,921$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.93 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 36c | 7,479$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.92 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 70c | 6,394$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 32c | 6,071$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 5,372$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 69c | 5,029$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.57 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 72c | 4,777$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 32c | 4,434$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 3,268$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.41 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 29c | 2,878$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.55 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…5c37backed Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 2,727$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.12 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 70c | 2,725$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 78c | 2,567$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.33 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…33f4backed No | 31c | 2,246$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 31c | 2,230$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.3 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 30c | 2,228$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.71 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 67c | 1,893$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.82 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 71c | 1,848$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Yes | 70c | 1,829$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 30c | 1,605$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 69c | 1,573$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 20c | 1,553$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 31c | 1,500$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 69c | 1,496$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Yes | 68c | 1,491$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed No | 32c | 1,489$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.6 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 29c | 1,400$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 30c | 1,374$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 32c | 1,300$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 66c | 1,246$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 68c | 1,242$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,181$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,160$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,147$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 10c | 999.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…0bd2backed Yes | 75c | 910.99$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 32c | 831.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.43 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…4353backed Yes | 80c | 803.01$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 78c | 799$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 77c | 796.69$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 70c | 790.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 71c | 788$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 69c | 740.93$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.69 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 10c | 729.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 69c | 710$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes | 71c | 705.89$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 74c | 674.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 6c | 625.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 68c | 584.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 11c | 563.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 523.32$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked No | 31c | 522.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 71c | 516.34$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.34 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 70c | 511.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 33c | 499.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 69c | 492.9$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 13c | 476.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 69c | 475.49$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 70c | 468.38$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 67c | 449.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…cafdbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 72c | 417.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?this page
- Will Nigeria vs. Tanzania end in a draw?No won
- Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.