Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria vs. Tanzania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4f82542f712a8df159be714b861430e54577fc856122ecb3463c16929e66d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 24c | 10,190$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.86 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 76c | 8,400$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 9c | 1,821$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,279$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,237$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes | 22c | 535.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…11a5backed Yes | 4c | 507.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 373.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 371.34$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 342$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…f171backed No | 76c | 272.37$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 76c | 252.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 228.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes | 22c | 228$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 13c | 210.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 8c | 189.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 10c | 167.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Yes | 23c | 137.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 79c | 133.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 11c | 130.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 16c | 126.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 79c | 118.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…70d9backed No | 76c | 96.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 22c | 86.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…fa1cbacked No | 76c | 82.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6022backed No | 76c | 81.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…403abacked No | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…ea7cbacked Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…2329backed No | 76c | 69.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…b36abacked No | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…3babbacked No | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 78c | 66.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…017cbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…9d8abacked No | 76c | 60.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc18…6847backed No | 76c | 57.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…0839backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 41c | 48.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed No | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…9f95backed No | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…185cbacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…6d97backed No | 79c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…28e3backed No | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 80c | 12.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria vs. Tanzania end in a draw?this page
- Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?Yes won
- Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.