TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb100…dce6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$64.68
Toledo Rockets vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.12
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$26.65
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Spread: VCU Rams (-4.5)backed Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-4.5)backed Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.49
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Spread: Cornell Big Red (-1.5)backed Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Chattanooga Mocs vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.43
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.51
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.6
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-1.5)backed Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.04
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$60.4
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-11.5)backed Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$36.34
Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-21.5)backed Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Pacific Tigers vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$45.03
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+212.5%+$25.16
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.66
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.63
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.08
Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.94
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.96
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$56.35
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36.12
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.28
Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.54
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$58.32
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$47.53
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+132.6%+$37.62
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$36.55
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.24
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.22
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$45.78
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+270.4%+$47.45
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$39.53
Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.94
1H Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$38.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.49
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48.96
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.75
Derby County FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
Norwich City FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+112.8%+$25.44
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$81.12
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.5
Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield Wednesday FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$34.8
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.62
Leicester City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$37.2
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$14.6
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.41
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$78.54
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+257.1%+$67.68
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Millwall FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.44
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+233.3%+$87.5
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$12.54
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.52
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$23.85
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Stoke City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$29.12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Bridgeport Islandersbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Stars vs. Utah: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+215.6%+$146.87
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$24.6
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.25
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.22
KHL: Torpedo vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$20.58
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.38
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$26.24
Panthers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
DEL: Schwenninger Wild Wings vs. Bremerhavenbacked Bremerhaven · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$34.3
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+60.3%+$64.7
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$23.98
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$19.43
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.49
Flyers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$58.76
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$32.24
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$33.58
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$13.26
Senators vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$24.94
Sharks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$47.32
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
All 23 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.64
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$136.8
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+354.5%+$93.87
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$26.64
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.44
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed Hellas Verona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.28
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59.86
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.2%+$36.3
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18
SS Lazio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$36.8
Will AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+376.2%+$48.98
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed US Sassuolo Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.6%+$13.41
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.59
Spread: USC (-5.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.22
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.15
O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)backed Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$50.31
Spread: Troy (-1.5)backed Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.03
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+106.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.44
BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$33.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Jackky and friends (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.