NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x899e5b6300ee6ecfecb1a8779700a4d5f70f9e00ebb2bb87e654fcaa921f7107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,996$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 52c | 2,634$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.15 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…4341backed Pistons | 53c | 2,587$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,802$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.89 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,347$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,183$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pistons | 52c | 962.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 638.07$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.27 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Pistons | 52c | 557.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 299.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Pistons | 51c | 299.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Pistons | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 211.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Pistons | 53c | 203.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 52c | 185.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 157$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 139$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 124$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Pistons | 52c | 115.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Pistons | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 93.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Trail Blazers | 72c | 78.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Pistons | 53c | 76.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…4350backed Pistons | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f34fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 70.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 51c | 66.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Pistons | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 55.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Pistons | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Pistons | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f3…5a90backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Pistons | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Pistons | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Pistons | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Pistons | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…e94bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Pistons | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Pistons | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Pistons | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Pistons | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Pistons | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Pistons | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Pistons | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Pistons | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Pistons | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Pistons | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Pistons | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Pistons | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pistons | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Pistons | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Pistons | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Pistons | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Pistons | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Pistons | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Pistons | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Pistons | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Pistons | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Pistons | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Pistons | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Pistons | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Pistons | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail BlazersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.