TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc480…0caabacked Under55c25,599$14,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,407.5613249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Over45c17,333$7,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,853.182450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc984…2d4bbacked Over43c8,266$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c1,375$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Under54c1,215$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.814057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over2c671$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over44c562.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.061,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under56c530$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under56c402$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.148050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Under54c367$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1677237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under54c224$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.029560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under56c203$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c185.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.192,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under56c162$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.586349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Over45c161$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.735552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under55c143$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.977451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under54c142$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3210143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under55c136$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.26154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c7…d6b4backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under55c97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.655750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7563…1fb3backed Under55c96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.082,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under53c93.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.687361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Under55c93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.853948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2911158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under55c89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.056454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under55c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.156058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c84.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under55c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over46c67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.964643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.76952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd67a…304cbacked Over45c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.13046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.644957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.758752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under56c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x22e5…81acbacked Over44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under55c49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda54…dcaabacked Over46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.542240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.624344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Under55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.156053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Over45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.983154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Over44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.013644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.354358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Over43c42.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362425%6 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under54c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.324757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Over45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb570…25dbbacked Over45c41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over45c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.452759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Over45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.552339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.683438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.724957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.023860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over44c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.944353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Under55c35.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over44c35.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.753946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Over44c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.561050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Over45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…cccebacked Over45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over45c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.955850%29 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.954757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Under57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc157…bd5cbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…2635backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22875%21 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over45c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.052030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Over46c29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.342927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69050%45 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…c672backed Over45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Over45c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.152544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.152343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.152142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Over46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Over44c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.533435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Over45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2614…1000backed Over45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Over45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.163154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.254850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.