NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821eba7528f093693520e655c71878126cdd08e13855f2f7e0d6216b5eb2259c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 64,489$32,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,347.33 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 29,078$14,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,538.87 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 21,804$11,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,003.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 5,510$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 4,664$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,020$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 405.45$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over | 53c | 330$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 209.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 28c | 106$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 48c | 104.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 35.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…eb6cbacked Over | 55c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 23.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail BlazersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.