TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c16,666$8,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,93374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over49c11,484$5,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,617.212,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc32…471cbacked Over48c10,398$4,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9009451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Under52c6,445$3,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.754057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c5,291$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.721,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d55…c35abacked Over47c4,609$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under57c4,401$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.3614753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over48c3,954$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Over47c2,443$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1481822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.082,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c2,206$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over43c1,619$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Over47c1,219$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5733148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Under54c1,065$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Over47c1,054$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Under53c935.49$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6813041.5%54 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Over47c818.72$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.82951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c572.92$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24040952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c477$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over45c475.5$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9854747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over48c448$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.262,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.361,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over48c379.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.125750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over45c366$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over47c322.93$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7837755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14721749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over47c213.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over47c208.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0418954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c194$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.362,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3124556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under53c167.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c153$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7238347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Under51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.068132.1%26 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under56c147$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.689560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.757441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under52c118$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.646855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under54c109$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.147353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c105.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c98.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under54c94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.247451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under55c94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.34949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…3e86backed Under56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under52c89.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7888845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.57557.3%43 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8210550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.754953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Over47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.385034%17 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over47c50.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under52c48.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.168744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked Over45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Over44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.353759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012052.5%63 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7433949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Over48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.684151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under53c38.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9563745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4813652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over46c36.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9110234.3%35 W · 67 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Over50c34.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0913945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…88cfbacked Over44c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.963551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.043946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.123857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.319443.6%41 W · 53 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Over48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Over47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Over46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2348…9d10backed Over46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Over44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Over47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.343351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc518…bdecbacked Over50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Over48c20.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.