TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa25…05e8backed Under53c10,589$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.176352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c7,330$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66524053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over47c7,145$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,358.326753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under49c6,076$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.5674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c5,223$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.631,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c3,441$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,795$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.41,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d55…c35abacked Over50c2,652$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over51c1,951$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c1,622$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.951,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5f…622fbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c482.46$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c357.94$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.231,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c327.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under48c207$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.649258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under49c190$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under52c165$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.22,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under48c117$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.539360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under49c114$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.146349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae97…8929backed Under53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under48c107$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.648759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.15750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.66349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under51c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.737651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.56953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b7…704ebacked Over51c72.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.111323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.247361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over52c59.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.712,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3882…281ebacked Over48c57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.449560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.956058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…db8fbacked Over49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.754148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.484643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.713447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.724353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934a…9096backed Over52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.295843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Over49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.914344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Over52c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Over50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Over50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e3…b595backed Under52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1916944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Over51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.262657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.483961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x12af…0730backed Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4182…ae54backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ea3…ab73backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.