TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x934a…9096

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-10.5)backed Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-2.5)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.62
Spread: Presbyterian Blue Hose (-16.5)backed Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.24
Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.89
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.33
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. UTEP Minersbacked UTEP Miners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bearsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.22
Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-3.5)backed Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
LSU Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.96
Spread: Dayton Flyers (-17.5)backed Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.67
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Missouri State Bears vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$18
Penn Quakers vs. Princeton Tigersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-8.5)backed Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18.45
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.96
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$28.06
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20.64
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$5.8
Spread: Missouri State Bears (-3.5)backed Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.17
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.66
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.34
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.12
Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Pelicans vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Raptors vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 108.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.91
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.76
Hornets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27.54
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.07
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.35
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.16
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.95
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.27
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.72
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
1H Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.55
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Comesanabacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.42
Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.51
Dallas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Mattia Belluccibacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.28
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)backed Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.19
Nardi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.96
Set 1 Winner: Samsonova vs Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Set Handicap: Parry (-1.5) vs Udvardy (+1.5)backed Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Set 1 Winner: Zidansek vs Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.5
Shelton vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.36
Ambrosio vs. Sanchez: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.07
Birrell vs. Potapova: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$23.46
Fearnley vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.73
Jovic vs. Tjen: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Muller vs. Giron: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)backed Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Medvedev vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+244.8%+$27.69
Jovic vs. Costoulas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Brisbane International: McCartney Kessler vs Madison Keysbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.36
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Will Derby County FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.06
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.04
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.28
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Brackley Town FC vs. Burton Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$16.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.12
Spread: Flames (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.44
SHL: Luleaa vs. Malmoebacked Luleaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Brynaesbacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.31
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.1%+$21.92
SHL: Luleaa vs. Oerebro HKbacked Oerebro HK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.94
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Falkirk FC vs. Dundee FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Fortuna Sittard vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.51
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.25
FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Hibernian FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.72
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.61
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.6
CA Sarmiento vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will Club Tijuana vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+284.6%+$59.2
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+334.8%+$37.73
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Panathinaikosbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+159.3%+$28.26
Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.15
Olimpia Milano vs. Real Madridbacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+108.3%+$22.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$12.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$13.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.72
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Group A - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.