Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0354699974424a2caa39e5be51e123a34476cc09752672a7dcff6b4d5aa68bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,296$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.52 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 38c | 1,175$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 57c | 544$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 418.2$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 54c | 401.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 43c | 333.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 40c | 230.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 57c | 229.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 58c | 138.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 117.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 15c | 108.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 61c | 83.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 42c | 75.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 62.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 59.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Over | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…7b39backed Over | 71c | 45.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 56c | 36.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 48c | 31.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.