TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7399…fe96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rice Owls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.64
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Holy Cross Crusaders: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.21
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Indiana Hoosiers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Little Rock Trojans vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eaglesbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.08
Rhode Island Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.25
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-6.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-7.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$18.36
Austin Peay Governors vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+150%+$22.2
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.66
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Spread: BYU Cougars (-8.5)backed Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.16
Spread: Wofford Terriers (-1.5)backed Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Furman Paladins (-4.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.19
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.49
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40.49
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Towson Tigers (-10.5)backed Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
Nuggets vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
Magic vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.74
Raptors vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.71
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.14
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$21.5
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Magic vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11
Spread: Pacers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.04
Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
1H Spread: Magic (-0.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.25
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.71
Devils vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
SHL: Malmoe vs. Brynaesbacked Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Abbotsford Canucksbacked Abbotsford Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.24
Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Iserlohn Roostersbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.82
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21.45
Utah vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Devils vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. EHC Red Bull Muenchenbacked ERC Ingolstadt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.36
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Admiral Vladivostokbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$14.96
Hurricanes vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.39
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+244.8%+$34.08
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will NEC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$18.56
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.04
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Will Samsunspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$12.96
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26.97
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Millwall FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.52
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$21.28
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.78
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.55
Wolves vs. Manchester United: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Blackpool FC vs. Carlisle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Set 1 Winner: Galan vs Midonbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Bustabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.17
Wang vs. Oliynykova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37%+$4.86
Set 1 Winner: Udvardy vs Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.76
Chwalinska vs. Danilovic: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Svitolina vs. Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Fearnley vs. Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Fearnley (+1.5)backed Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-62.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)backed Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.18
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.67
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.51
Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.72
Fenerbahce vs. Panathinaikosbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.