Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504de13007c99b3fc47b04c538a7d89b522e274cb5d82e05dd05be36b7a59f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 65c | 320.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 46c | 269.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 256.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 57c | 255$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…3183backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 49c | 187$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 55c | 182.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 54c | 151.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 48c | 147.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked No | 47c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 125.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 49c | 122$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed No | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed No | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 57.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 36c | 51.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Yes | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…3fffbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Yes | 54c | 23.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…dcaabacked Yes | 54c | 22.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…9881backed No | 73c | 15.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.