Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd0e7d0b5e72a7cdc12f6b7eeb8992199ff872699b632687ae8c67c069ae3b38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.99 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 47c | 5,816$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.64 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 4,747$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 3,737$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 53c | 3,684$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.66 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.42 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 43c | 1,660$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.58 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 45c | 931.03$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 844.74$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.91 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 55c | 725.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 53c | 444$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 367.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 46c | 322.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 55c | 305.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 57c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…1052backed Over | 48c | 95.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Over | 48c | 92.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 79.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 67c | 38.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 53c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 45c | 31.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Under | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 54c | 19.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.