TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.999150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c5,816$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,733.6411848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c4,747$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c3,737$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.8896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under53c3,684$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.662236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under52c3,000$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.972454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9008251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under53c1,886$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.427945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over43c1,660$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.5859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over45c931.03$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.965658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c844.74$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36010152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under55c725.64$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under53c490.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.578757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under53c444$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.689958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c367.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.541,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8722237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over46c322.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.534235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.518854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under55c305.45$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.456949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13513152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13231441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8115847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8113648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8128458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.511550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under57c145$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.352360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under57c134$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.622564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Over18c115$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+50.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over47c110.64$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5215648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under57c96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under57c96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.282055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ad…1052backed Over48c95.65$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Over48c92.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.57353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under57c86$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c79.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under57c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.392161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.512454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.232657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711354%61 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278151.9%42 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711153.2%59 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711060%66 W · 44 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked Under78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over36c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012347.2%58 W · 65 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under67c38.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5615045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under53c36.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.35851.7%30 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over45c31.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.264652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Under71c27.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c19.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.833357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9c…6b57backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.