Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dee28116e94a8e7677ea564e05c7850aa380a016c1789e34bd9eb9e952d390f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x109f…6b8cbacked Under | 48c | 6,400$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 4,266$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.96 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,989$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 51c | 2,940$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,912$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 46c | 1,301$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.46 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 73c | 696.47$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 508.61$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Under | 60c | 482.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 28c | 299.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 246.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 27c | 215$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Over | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 30c | 134$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 57c | 104.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 102.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 90.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 30c | 83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Over | 54c | 74.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Under | 59c | 58.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a33…28e8backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 71c | 47.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Over | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 75c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Under | 46c | 26.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…bf0abacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.