TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ee4…9f0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.7
Wrexham AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.4%+$275.19
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.9%+$289.26
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+37.1%+$370.55
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37%+$554.79
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$500
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$298.7
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$250
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$282.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.7
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$250
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.6%+$325.52
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.71
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$612.9
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.05
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+57.7%+$577.25
FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$428.57
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$250
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$265.82
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$587.3
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,030.01
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$298.7
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$449.28
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$538.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
PSV vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.8%+$287.59
NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$316.05
PEC Zwolle vs. AZ: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.3%+$282.69
AFC Ajax vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.06
PSV vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
AZ vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$449.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$282.16
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$492.54
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.