Champions League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63cac0be65c02d2301b883c6dac0caee7f0c87a657d8117ddd498b121a28b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Under | 58c | 9,547$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 8,907$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.35 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 4,486$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 77c | 1,338$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +281%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 77c | 746.32$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.67 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 59c | 679.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 27c | 609.15$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.23 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 22c | 452.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 41c | 402.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 4c | 398$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 23c | 350$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 23c | 310.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 56c | 295.19$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 72c | 240.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 76c | 210$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 77c | 182.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 21c | 123.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 121.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 24c | 116.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…d45cbacked Over | 42c | 110.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 34c | 100.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Over | 23c | 99.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 58c | 96.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…e09abacked Under | 52c | 86.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 82.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…8797backed Under | 65c | 76.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 56c | 76.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Over | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 54.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 23c | 53.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 52.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…33d1backed Under | 57c | 41.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 79c | 38.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 34c | 37.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 77c | 36.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 38c | 34.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under | 52c | 31.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 43c | 31.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…6a16backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Over | 43c | 30.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 43c | 29.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Under | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…b656backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)Qarabağ Ağdam FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.